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Technical Analysis vs Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis vs. Technical Analysis
Technical analysis vs fundamental analysis has always been a debate in the investment and trading community for years.

Some of the most successful traders in the world use both these two methods to analyze securities and the markets to make accurate trading decisions for better market timing.

A good idea is to incorporate both into a trading system but it is not necessary. 

We find that the best use for fundamental analysis is when we make our long-term predictions and trade decisions and use technical analysis for short-term predictions and trade decisions.

Fundamental Vs Technical Analysis Which Is Better?

Is technical analysis or fundamental analysis best?

The best analysis method is the one that suits you best and gives you to confidence to be consistent trading your trading plan.

Both fundamental vs technical analysis Forex can be used to forecasts a price development –the key difference between fundamental analysis and technical analysis is that fundamental is often best for long-term forecasts and technical for a short-term forecast.

Note that it is never possible to predict a securities future price with certainty.

Read a few trading books for beginners on each the subjects so you can get an idea of which method suits you.

A good idea is to incorporate both fundamental and technical analysis in a trading system to improve your trading performance.

Advantages Of Fundamental Analysis

What is meant by fundamental analysis is that this type of analysis focuses on a business financial statements. So what is the process of fundamental analysis?

Usually, the fundamental analyst looks to analyze the business earnings, assets, liabilities and other financial parameters.

The analyst value of the company to its current price to forecast a future valuation and price. A trade decision is made from the forecast of the analysis, the fundamental analyst buys or sells if the company is undervalued or overvalued.

When a fundamental analysis is applied to other securities than stocks, example forex or futures, it focuses on the overall state of the economy. 

Parameters considered include among others interest rates, production, earnings, employment, GDP, housing, and manufacturing.

The importance of fundamental analysis and a good measure when you should use fundamental analysis is when your investment period is three months or longer.

Price Action Technical Analysis

Tools Of Technical Analysis

The tools of technical analysis are mainly focused on analyzing current price action, candlestick patterns, supply and demand in a security based on its historical price, volume, and volatility.

Charles H. Dow, founder of the American newspaper The Wall Street Journal was the first to observe (1884) that the markets repeat themselves continuously, creating price patterns.

These price patterns include support and resistance at price levels, different trends and momentum changes. 

Price action can also be divided into fractals meaning that price pattern repeats themselves in shorter and longer time period i.e. technical works on all time frames, monthly to one minute.

The technical analyst study price charts to make forecasts and trade decisions form.

Some technical analysts say that all information is reflected in the price of a security and that investors emotional responses to price movements create price patterns since the investors have different information and knowledge used to their advantage.

Historical price patterns repeat itself because of the trading between buyers and sellers (demand and supply).

Because of the importance of supply and demand, you must master this concept to become a successful technical trader is support and resistance.

Some technical analysts also use technical indicators. A technical indicator is a mathematical formula calculated on the price of the security. 

Today there are hundreds of technical indicators used to help traders make buy and sell decisions.

Technical analysis is the best analysis to use when swing- and day trading securities. Since most securities price moves in waves – a technical analyst uses strategies to find the best opportunities to profit from these moves.

Technical Analysis Charts Indicator - Simple Moving Average (SMA)

If you want to find the trend in the market good support and resistance levels, the simple moving average or SMA can help. This is a good tool for beginners because it's easy to understand.

Some of the most popular moving averages used are the 20-day, the 50-day, and the 200-day.

How to analyse moving average chart?

You can use moving averages as trend direction but you often also find support and resistance at the moving average line where price bounce.
technical analysis charts
EURUSD 1-hour chart by TradingView
Often used to provide support and resistance, you can have a clear indication if you are going to buy or sell as the situation permits it.

You can also use the MA’s to determine the trend. When the smaller MA’s are above the larger MA’s, most traders would say the trend is up.

Technical Analysis Charts Indicator - Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Technical Analysis Indicator - Relative Strength Index (RSI)
AUDJPY 15-minute chart by TradingView
RSI is an oscillator technical analysis indicator measured on a scale of 0-100. When the price is below 30, it means the security is oversold while above 70 means overbought.

You could use this to only sell when the market is overbought and only buy when the market is oversold.

The assumptions of technical analysis indicators is that they will help you become a better trader. But remember, you must create your own detailed trading plan with rules to trade the market successfully.

Tips And Advantages Of Technical Analysis

If you want to become better at fundamental or technical analysis and get better results, avoiding common trading mistakes and focusing on market timing (using correct orders) will have an important factor.

One of the biggest advantages of technical analysis is that you can find probability entry and exit signals on your Forex charts and that way become more successful.

Technical Analysis Market Timing 

Market timing is about having patience and not chasing the market.

So to become a better fundamental and technical trader you need to use correct orders.

A variety of orders is available when buying and selling securities, some guarantee execution, other guarantee prices.

The following four are the most common types of orders used when trading securities you need to know about
  • Market order
  •  Limit order
  •  Stop order
  •  Stop limit order
The market order is one that guarantees execution at the current market for the order given its priority in the trading queue. The market order is the most common order used to purchase securities.

The limit order is one that guarantees a price but not execution. If you want to buy and place a limit order it will be treated as a market order if your limit is at or above current market ask price. If you place the order below current market ask there is a chance that you don’t get filled but you have a better cheaper entry if you get filled (the order get executed).

The stop order (also refers as a stop-loss order) is your risk management order. This is a stop order you use to exit your position at the point where you think your trade is not valid anymore.

The stop limit order is a joint order of the stop order and the limit order. A stop-limit order will be executed at a specified price after the given stop price has been reached. The great thing about the stop-limit order is that it can be executed at a better price if for example the security traded is a stock that gaps away from the specified price. The reason for this is because once the specified price is reached the stop-limit order becomes a limit order at that price or better if there is an order that can fill your order.

If you want to become better at both fundamental and technical analysis – use limit orders and stop limit orders when trading. Make it a trading rule to only use orders that prevent you from chasing price and helps you buy where it is cheap and sell where it is expensive.

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Johan Nordstrom Professional Trader Risk Management
I'm a family guy in my early 30's who learned how to trade the markets in a simple yet effective way. During university, I studied investing and graduated with a master's degree in risk management. Quickly, I realized that I was onto something. I started helping friends and taking students. My students started getting results, spent less time in front of their screens, and their accounts grew consistently. Learn more about me here.
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